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Statistical Methods:

As one can imagine, this project relies heavily on various statistical methods to model the outcome of subjects with chronic diseases. A brief, simplified summary of the methods being employed for the project is as follows.

There are two parts to the Statistical Method: estimation movie and simulation movie. Estimation is the process of determining the probability of moving from one state to another in a subprocess (complication or comorbidity) of the disease model. Simulation is the process of using the estimated probabilities to simulate what will happen to a single subject or sample population as they progress through the disease model.

Estimation:

View Estimation Movie movie

Simulation:

View Simulation Movie movie

Ultimately, the estimation and simulation steps can be used together to predict the outcome of an unknown individual or sample population based on various symptoms and medical histories.

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